Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Eibar		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4	Watch
	2.02	2.92	4.05
	2.12	2.88	4.65
	2.05	2.97	4.36	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4
	2.09	3.06	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
45.6%

Draw
31.9%

Burgos
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

30.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.9%	7.1%

Eibar - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. (C) 6. Alvarez S. 14. Olaetxea L. 17. Corpas J. 16. Madariaga A. 18. Ares A. 20. Javier Marton	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 10. Appin K.
Substitutes
4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 24. Bernat J. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 10. Guruzeta J. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 21. Moreno M. 22. Rodriguez A.	15. Bunuel A. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 9. Nino F. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
San Jose B.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
22', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
28', Atienza M. 🟨,
43', Ares A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Madariaga A. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
65', Appin K. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
65', Cordoba I. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
74', Olaetxea L. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
74', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
87', Curro ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
87', Arbilla A. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
88', Ares A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
90', Garcia H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.

Eibar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burgos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eibar is the team to beat.

There will not play in Eibar: Bernat J. (Health problems) Martinez J. (Injury) Moreno M. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Atienza M. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Leganés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWT
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.26	Burgos - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Santander - Burgos	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Eibar - Burgos	1:0
23.11.24	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
10.03.24	Eibar - Burgos	0:1
09.09.23	Burgos - Eibar	1:0
11.03.23	Eibar - Burgos	1:0

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