The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Ourense 54.9%
Draw 29.5%
Burgos Promesas 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
25.1%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.5%
24%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.
Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Iglesias F. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Lecic L. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
UD Ourense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Burgos Promesas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, UD Ourense is seen as the favorite.
We predict that UD Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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