Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Gernika		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4	7
	1.4	4.3	6.2
	1.4	4.62	7.42
	1.42	4.3	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.28 ↓ (4.3)	6.8 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
65.2%

Draw
21.4%

Tropezón
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

12.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tropezón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - Tropezón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Gernika is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tropezón is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Gernika have a series of guest games.

In this match Gernika is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.01.22	Izarra - Gernika	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Mutilvera - Gernika	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas	3:1 ✺
12.12.21	Náxara - Gernika	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Osasuna B - Gernika	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWWT
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.01.22	Tropezón - Osasuna B	0:3 ✺
09.01.22	Tropezón - Sestao	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Racing Santander B - Tropezón	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tropezón - Cayón	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Peña Sport - Tropezón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.09.21	Tropezón - Gernika	0:2

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