Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.3
	2.15	3.13	3.34
	2.25	3.07	3.10	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
42.5%

Draw
29.7%

Lealtad
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos Promesas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Burgos Promesas - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Lasme T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, Ventosa E. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Burgos Promesas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lealtad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Burgos Promesas might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	4:2 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Real Oviedo B - Burgos Promesas	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Lealtad - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Valladolid B - Lealtad	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Ávila - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLT

Burgos Promesas - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide