Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.72	3.93	4.17
	1.94	3.56	3.52	Watch
	1.8	3.54	4.16
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)	3.51 ↑ (3.22)	3.85 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
49.8%

Draw
26.3%

Lealtad
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid B's performance.

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Valladolid B - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Carvajal A. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Moreno X. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Carvajal A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Krehl A. ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,
90+9', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 0.

Valladolid B has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lealtad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Valladolid B is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Valladolid B - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Real Oviedo B - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Valladolid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Ávila - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sarriana - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.03.21	Lealtad - Valladolid B	1:1
06.12.20	Valladolid B - Lealtad	0:1
02.04.17	Valladolid B - Lealtad	0:0
06.11.16	Lealtad - Valladolid B	0:0
14.02.16	Valladolid B - Lealtad	1:1
27.09.15	Lealtad - Valladolid B	5:1
02.05.15	Lealtad - Valladolid B	3:0

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