Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.4
	2.97	3.05	2.49
	2.86	3.02	2.47	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.79	2.97	2.41
	2.8	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)	3 ↓ (3.25)	2.46 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
32.4%

Draw
30.5%

Valladolid B
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Carvajal A. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Ribas I. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Hernaiz D. ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, Aranda J. L. ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, Sedano H. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Valladolid B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Valladolid B - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Sarriana - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTTT
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Valladolid B - Coruxo	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Real Ávila - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Valladolid B - Salamanca	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.04.23	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	1:2
17.12.22	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:2

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