Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.25
	1.81	3.51	3.91	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.69
	1.72	3.66	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	4.26 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Valladolid B
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+1%)

Numancia - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Esteban S. ⚽,
45', Esteban S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Delgado C. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Delgado C. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Bonilla J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Numancia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valladolid B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Numancia is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Numancia - Sámano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTL
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Valladolid B - Sarriana	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sámano - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Valladolid B - Lealtad	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:3
15.12.24	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1
21.02.21	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1
28.11.20	Numancia - Valladolid B	2:2

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