Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.05	1.98
	3.90	3.39	1.87	Watch
	3.56	3.35	2.04
	3.8	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
24.8%

Draw
28.2%

Numancia
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Burgos Promesas - Numancia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 6).

Burgos Promesas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Numancia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Numancia is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Sarriana - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Lealtad	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWW

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