Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.15	4.35
	1.86	3.33	4.00	Watch
	1.84	3.13	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.2 (3.2)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
50%

Draw
28.4%

Valladolid B
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Real Ávila - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Runy ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 2 - 0, Sarr M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Esteban S. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Carvajal A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Real Ávila is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valladolid B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Real Ávila is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Salamanca - Real Ávila	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sarriana - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Real Ávila - Sámano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTLWW
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Valladolid B - Salamanca	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Valladolid B - Sarriana	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sámano - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	2:1
08.12.24	Real Ávila - Valladolid B	2:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	0:1

Upcoming Matches