Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
Pakistan	Tapmad
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Buriram United		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.70	3.60
	1.79	3.75	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.95	3.75
	1.98	3.83	3.35	Watch
	1.88	3.85	3.65
	1.92	3.90	3.70	Watch
	1.91	3.70	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
49.5%

Draw
24.7%

Beijing Guoan
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Buriram United - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Buriram (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (C) 17. Ahijado L. 5. Nathan Pelae 6. Good C. 31. Caju 20. Moya T. 27. Sookjitthammakul P. 9. Jaided S. 8. Paulinho 10. Moyano S. 7. Bissoli	34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 28. Dudziak J. 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 20. Nkololo B. 77. Akolo C.
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 55. Bunmathan T. 33. Chotmuangpak T. 40. Edu Mancha 2. Haiprakon S. 18. Savicevic V. 30. Schimmer S. 19. Schindler K. 99. Tudorie A.	24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 29. Abreu F. 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng Jiefu 30. Fan Shuangjie 22. Han Jiaqi (G) 4. Li Lei 11. Lin Liangming 31. Liu S. (G) 7. Serginho 17. Yang Liyu
Coaches
Silva M.	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Paulinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bai Yang 🟨,
60', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
60', Akolo C. ↓, Abreu F. ↑,
60', Dudziak J. ↓, Serginho ↑,
64', Ahijado L. ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
72', Jaided S. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
72', Paulinho ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
73', Ramos G. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Lin Liangming (A),
84', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
85', Caju ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
85', Moya T. ↓, Tudorie A. ↑,
90+1', Serginho 🟨,

Preview

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Beijing Guoan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Buriram holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Buriram has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buriram against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
10.10.26	Buriram United - Rayong FC	3:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
07.10.26	Buriram United - Borneo Samarinda	0:0 ✺
Thai League 1
20.09.26	Chonburi - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Buriram United	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
11.09.26	Buriram United - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTT
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
09.10.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
05.09.26	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.08.26	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.04.19	Beijing Guoan - Buriram United	2:0
09.04.19	Buriram United - Beijing Guoan	1:3

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