The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Buriram United 49.7%
Draw 27.8%
Melbourne City 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.4%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
25.4%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
23.5%
11.8%
banner
Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Buriram: 42% – 87.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 14. Walsh S. 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 6. Good C. 40. Edu Mancha 23. Causic G. (C) 44. Zulj P. 19. Schindler K. 32. Zulj R. 10. Mueanta S. 7. Bissoli
1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 13. Atkinson N. 8. Teague R. 30. Kuen A. 28. Younis M. 35. Memeti M. 14. Arzani D.
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 16. Dougall K. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 9. Jaided S. 77. Junker K. 75. Lee-Oh S. 28. Sanchez R. 30. Stojkovic F. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 26. Toku E. 15. Weerawatnodom N.
37. Antoniou P. 4. Bonetig L. 17. Caputo M. 2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 44. Kutleshi B. 20. Mazzeo B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 47. Rahmani K. 11. Rashani E. 19. Schreiber Z. 41. Wong L.
Coaches
Jackson M.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Edu Mancha ↓, Stojkovic F. ↑,
21', Zulj R. 🟥,
25', Mueanta S. ↓, Dougall K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shillington H. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
46', Walsh S. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
57', Bissoli 🟨,
71', Bissoli ↓, Junker K. ↑,
73', Stojkovic F. 🟨,
77', Dougall K. 🟨,
80', Memeti M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
87', Kuen A. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
90+1', Zulj P. 🟨,
90+6', Etheridge N. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
101', Arzani D. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
105', Junker K. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
119', Ferreyra G. 🟥,
119', Sanchez R. 🟨,
120+5', Ko Myeong-Seok ↓, Lee-Oh S. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Caputo M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Causic G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Teague R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Schindler K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Behich A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zulj P. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Younis M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dougall K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
Buriram has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Melbourne City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Buriram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Buriram is the team to beat.
We predict that Buriram will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Buriram won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Asia
Australia
Bulgaria
China
Croatia
Georgia
Hong-kong
India
Japan
Malaysia
North-macedonia
Pakistan
Russia
Slovenia
South-korea
Turkey
Vietnam
World
Watch
#ad
Etheridge N. (G) 
Walsh S. 
Ko Myeong-Seok 
Good C. 
Edu Mancha 
Causic G. (C) 
Zulj P. 
Schindler K. 
Mueanta S. 
Ferreyra G. 
Souprayen S. 
Junker K. 
Sanchez R. 
Stojkovic F. 
Rashani E. 
Jackson M. 
