Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Referee: Al Kaf Ahmed (Oma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Ulsan HD		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.35	3.27
	2.13	3.37	3.37	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.19	3.31	3.42	Watch
	2.12	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
43.2%

Draw
28.5%

Melbourne City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Ulsan HD - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Melbourne City (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 13. Kang Sang-Woo 4. Seo Myung-Guan 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 3. Yoon Jong-Gyu 77. Sim Sang-Min 16. Lee H. 10. Lee D. 6. Bojanic D. 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 99. Yago Cariello	1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 2. Delbridge H. 16. Behich A. (C) 30. Kuen A. 8. Teague R. 28. Younis M. 21. Lopane A. 35. Memeti M. 17. Caputo M.
Substitutes
72. Baek In-Woo 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 18. Heo Yool 29. Jang Si-Young 43. Jo M. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 9. Marcao 20. Pedrinho 31. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 66. Trojak M.	37. Antoniou P. 14. Arzani D. 4. Bonetig L. 39. Durakovic E. 44. Kutleshi B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 47. Rahmani K. 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H. 26. Souprayen S. 41. Wong L.
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Younis M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Delbridge H. ↓, Souprayen S. ↑,
67', Kuen A. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
68', Lopane A. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
68', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
68', Lee H. ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
68', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
73', Seo Myung-Guan ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
78', Caputo M. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Bojanic D. ⚽,
90+1', Yago Cariello ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
90+2', Atkinson N. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Younis M. ⚽,
90+4', Younis M. 🟨,
90+4', Memeti M. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Melbourne City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ulsan could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.11.25	Ulsan HD - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW
- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLWL

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