Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Melbourne City		Gangwon

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.52	3.2	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.12	2.91
	2.65	3.15	2.71	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.43	3.31	2.95	Watch
	2.54	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.64)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
36.6%

Draw
29.4%

Gangwon
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	13.6%	45.5%

Melbourne City - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Gangwon will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gangwon: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Melbourne City (2.14) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Gangwon (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gangwon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Gangwon (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Gangwon (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 47. Rahmani K. 21. Lopane A. 8. Teague R. 35. Memeti M. 17. Caputo M. 30. Kuen A.	21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 8. Kang Y. 23. Tuci M. 34. Song Jun-Seok 28. Lee Seung-Won 4. Seo Min-Woo (C) 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 7. Kim Dae-Won 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 11. Goh Young-Jun
Substitutes
37. Antoniou P. 14. Arzani D. 13. Atkinson N. 4. Bonetig L. 2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 44. Kutleshi B. 20. Mazzeo B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 41. Wong L. 28. Younis M.	96. Choe Byeong-Chan 80. Hleihil A. 36. Hwang Eun-Chong 25. Hyobin L. 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 27. Kim Do-Hyun 91. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 35. Kim Tae-Hwan 39. Lee Ji-Ho 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 24. Park H. 47. Shin Min-Ha
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Shin Min-Ha ↑,
46', Memeti M. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
60', Lopane A. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
60', Rahmani K. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
62', Kang Y. ↓, Mo Jae-Hyeon ↑,
62', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
71', Kim Dae-Won ↓, Lee Ji-Ho ↑,
74', Behich A. 🟨,
74', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
75', Teague R. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
81', Behich A. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
88', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Hyobin L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent performances by Melbourne City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne City - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Gangwon - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
11.02.26	Ulsan HD - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW
- Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League
11.02.26	Gangwon - Shanghai Port	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Partizan - Gangwon	Canceled ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Buriram United - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 T?TWL

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