Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 14 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade du 26 Mars (Bamako)

Referee: El Banna M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3


	Burkina Faso		Senegal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.63
	5.5	3.3	1.72	Watch
	6.37	3.05	1.72
	5.52	3.18	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3	1.8
	5.44	3.65	1.74	Watch
	5.5	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.09)	3.23 ↓ (3.6)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burkina Faso
17%

Draw
28.9%

Senegal
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burkina Faso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burkina Faso's form might have worsened.

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	23.5%	64.7%

Burkina Faso - Senegal Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Burkina Faso will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Senegal will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ouedraogo F. (G) AS Vita Club 9. Kabore I. Benfica 14. Dayo I. (C) Berkane 12. Tapsoba E. Bayer Leverkusen 25. Yago S. Aris Limassol 24. Simpore S. National Bank Egypt 11. Bouda O. San Jose Earthquakes 6. Banse S. Greuther Furth 8. Badolo C. Sheriff Tiraspol 19. Bande H. HJK 2. Traore L. Shakhtar	16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 15. Diatta K. Monaco 3. Koulibaly K. (C) Al Hilal 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 25. Diouf M. Slavia Prague 5. Gueye I. Everton 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 10. Mane S. Al Nassr 7. Jackson N. Chelsea
Substitutes
4. Boni T. San Antonio FC 10. Camara O. FK Auda Riga 5. Djiga N. Crvena zvezda 15. Maiga R. AS Douanes 13. Ndo R. Leixoes 23. Nikiema K. (G) Den Haag 21. Nouma V. Simba 17. Ouattara H. Etoile Filante 3. Ouedraogo M. Majestic 20. Pitroipa C. AS Douanes 18. Salou D. Hapoel Haifa 7. Tiendrebeogo J. Annecy	11. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 22. Diallo A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 20. Diallo H. Damac 21. Diarra H. Strasbourg 1. Dieng S. (G) Middlesbrough 2. Mendy F. Lorient . Ndiaye A. . Ndiaye C. Crvena zvezda 12. Sabaly C. Metz 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa . Seck I. Creteil
Coaches
Brama T.	Thiaw P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Badolo C. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
64', Sarr I. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
64', Jackson N. ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
64', Bouda O. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Diarra H. ⚽, Gueye P. (A),
88', Ndiaye I. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,

Preview

In this match Senegal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Burkina Faso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
13.10.24	Burundi - Burkina Faso	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Burkina Faso - Burundi	4:1 ✺
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Burkina Faso - Sierra Leone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTT
- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Malawi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
11.10.24	Senegal - Malawi	4:0 ✺
09.09.24	Burundi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Mauritania - Senegal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1
02.02.22	Burkina Faso - Senegal	1:3
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Burkina Faso - Senegal	2:2
02.09.17	Senegal - Burkina Faso	0:0

Burkina Faso - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide