Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Referee: Bamlak T. (Eth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malawi	MBC
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Portugal	Sport TV1
Senegal	RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4


	Malawi		Senegal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8	4.6	1.31
	9.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	9.9	4.52	1.32
	8.48	4.69	1.36	Watch
	9	4.75	1.34	Watch
	9.5	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.06 ↑ (9)	4.68 ↓ (4.75)	1.33 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
10.3%

Draw
19.9%

Senegal
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

19.2%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Malawi - Senegal Predictions

Users Predictions: Senegal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Thole W. (G) Malawi 4. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 7. Mwase N. Silver Strikers 5. Chembezi D. Black Leopards 3. Silwimba T. 14. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 11. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 17. Banda J. (C) Malawi 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets	1. Dieng S. (G) Middlesbrough 2. Mendy F. Lorient 3. Koulibaly K. (C) Al Hilal 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 25. Diouf M. Slavia Prague 5. Gueye I. Everton 21. Diarra H. Strasbourg 9. Dia B. Lazio 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 10. Mane S. Al Nassr 7. Jackson N. Chelsea
Substitutes
6. Aaron L. 15. Chaziya L. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Chester Y. Costa do Sol 16. Chikooka G. (G) 12. Kaliati I. Mighty Wanderers FC 8. Mphasi C. 9. Nkhoma Z. Kamuzu Barracks 2. Paipi M. Silver Strikers 18. Saizi R. Zanaco	8. Camara L. Monaco 11. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 22. Diallo A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 20. Diallo H. Damac 23. Diaw M. (G) Clermont 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 6. Mendy N. Lens 12. Ndiaye A. 15. Ndiaye C. Crvena zvezda 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa
Coaches
Mabedi P.	Cisse A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Lameck M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Jackson N. 🟨,
59', Diarra H. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
60', Gueye I. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
67', Nkhoma L. ↓, Aaron L. ↑,
67', Kaonga C. ↓, Mphasi C. ↑,
70', Dia B. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
70', Jackson N. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
72', Chembezi D. 🟨,
72', Sarr P. M. 🟨,
76', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
84', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Saizi R. ↑,
90+5', Aaron L. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Mane S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match Senegal is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Malawi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Senegal - Malawi	4:0 ✺
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1 ✺
05.09.24	Malawi - Burundi	2:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Equatorial Guinea - Malawi	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Malawi - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Senegal - Malawi	4:0 ✺
09.09.24	Burundi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Mauritania - Senegal	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Senegal - Malawi	4:0
18.01.22	Malawi - Senegal	0:0
COSAFA Cup
14.07.21	Senegal - Malawi	2:1

Malawi - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide