Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade (Diamniadio)

Referee: Gnama A. (Tog)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	Sportdigital LIVE
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malawi	MBC
Senegal	RTS 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3


	Senegal		Malawi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.16	6.25	14.5
	1.16	6.5	19	Watch
	1.16	6.28	17.91
	1.17	6.5	18.33	Watch
	1.17	6	15
	1.15	6.85	20	Watch
	1.16	6.5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.13)	6.41 ↓ (6.5)	17.68 ↓ (21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senegal
80.2%

Draw
14.5%

Malawi
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.5%

14.2%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Senegal - Malawi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dieng S. (G) Middlesbrough 2. Mendy F. Lorient 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 3. Koulibaly K. Al Hilal 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 8. Camara L. Monaco 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 10. Mane S. Al Nassr 7. Jackson N. Chelsea	1. Munthali B. (G) Big Bullets 5. Chembezi D. Black Leopards 7. Mwase N. Silver Strikers 3. Silwimba T. 2. Sanudi S. Mighty Wanderers FC 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 14. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 11. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 17. Banda J. (C) Malawi
Substitutes
24. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 27. Dia B. Lazio 16. Diallo A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 29. Diallo H. Damac 22. Diarra H. Strasbourg 15. Diaw M. (G) Clermont 17. Diouf M. Slavia Prague 21. Gueye I. Everton 25. Mendy N. Lens 28. Ndiaye C. Crvena zvezda 23. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 20. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa	6. Aaron L. . Chaziya L. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Chester Y. Costa do Sol 16. Chikooka G. (G) 8. Idana C. Silver Strikers 12. Kaliati I. Mighty Wanderers FC 4. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 9. Nkhoma Z. Kamuzu Barracks 18. Saizi R. Zanaco
Coaches
Thiaw P.	Mabedi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Munthali B. 🟥,
19', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Chikooka G. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kaonga C. ↓, Idana C. ↑,
52', Mendy F. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
53', Njaliwa L. 🟨,
59', Nkhoma L. ↓, Chester Y. ↑,
65', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
65', Camara L. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Mane S. ⚽, Sarr I. (A),
71', 3 - 0, Dia B. ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, Jackson N. ⚽, Gueye I. (A),
77', Njaliwa L. ↓, Nkhoma Z. ↑,
81', Gueye P. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
81', Jackson N. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
90+4', Banda J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Senegal is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Senegal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
09.09.24	Burundi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Mauritania - Senegal	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Senegal - Benin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWTW
- Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1 ✺
05.09.24	Malawi - Burundi	2:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Equatorial Guinea - Malawi	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Malawi - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:1 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Malawi - Zambia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
18.01.22	Malawi - Senegal	0:0
COSAFA Cup
14.07.21	Senegal - Malawi	2:1

Senegal - Malawi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide