Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Burnley FC Training Centre (Burnley)

Referee: Bancroft J. (Eng)


	Burnley U21		Chelsea U21

	1	X	2
	4.3	5.29	1.54
	4.84	5.20	1.48	Watch
	4.84	4.55	1.49	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (2.95)	4.72 ↑ (3.85)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley U21
22%

Draw
19.8%

Chelsea U21
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

21.5%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley U21's form might have worsened.

Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burnley U21 - Chelsea U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooney O. (G) 2. Campbell M. 4. Williams J. (C) 5. Ashton J. 3. Pimlott O. 6. McEvilly J. 8. Clark E. 7. Bevan J. 10. Brierley G. 11. Brown K. M. 9. Ryan K.	1. Merrick M. (G) 2. Antwi G. 3. Murray-Campbell H. 4. Wilson K. 5. Olise R. 8. Rak-Sakyi S. 6. Harrison O. 7. Richards D. 10. Cardoso L. 11. Ampah A. 9. Mheuka S. (C)
Substitutes
14. Adekoya N. 12. Forshaw L. (G) 17. Johnson Z. 15. Leuluai M. 16. Veevers C.	12. Best K. 13. Curd T. (G) 15. Derry J. 16. McMahon H. 14. Runham F.
Coaches
Farrell A.	McFarlane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Mheuka S. 🟨,
35', Pimlott O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Murray-Campbell H. 🟨,
56', Ampah A. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
64', Harrison O. ↓, McMahon H. ↑,
67', Bevan J. ↓, Veevers C. ↑,
68', Campbell M. 🟨,
72', Ashton J. 🟨,
81', Olise R. ↓, Best K. ↑,
83', Brierley G. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Derry J. ⚽, Murray-Campbell H. (A),
89', Brown K. M. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
90+5', Rak-Sakyi S. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Chelsea U21 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burnley U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Burnley U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley U21
English Premier League 2
26.09.25	Burnley U21 - Sunderland U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
23.09.25	Cardiff City U21 - Burnley U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
19.09.25	Southampton U21 - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Solihull Moors - Burnley U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Burnley U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Chelsea U21
English Premier League 2
27.09.25	Chelsea U21 - Stoke City U21	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
23.09.25	Northampton Town - Chelsea U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
20.09.25	Chelsea U21 - Ipswich Town U21	2:4 ✺
29.08.25	Aston Villa U21 - Chelsea U21	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chelsea U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
07.04.25	Burnley U21 - Chelsea U21	2:0

Burnley U21 - Chelsea U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide