Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Burnley U23		Aston Villa U23

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3
	1.92	3.6	3
	1.93	3.95	3.26
	1.94	3.98	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)	3.83 ↑ (3.67)	3.11 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley U23
47%

Draw
23.7%

Aston Villa U23
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley U23's performance.

Aston Villa U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U23 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U23 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burnley U23 - Aston Villa U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 9).

Burnley U23 in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aston Villa U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aston Villa U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Burnley U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burnley U23 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley U23
English Premier League 2
22.04.22	Stoke City U23 - Burnley U23	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Burnley U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	3:2 ✺
08.04.22	Burnley U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	5:1 ✺
02.04.22	Burnley U23 - Southampton U23	2:1 ✺
21.03.22	Sunderland U23 - Burnley U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWW
- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
18.04.22	Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:3 ✺
01.04.22	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	1:4 ✺
18.03.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:0 ✺
11.03.22	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:2 ✺
25.02.22	Fulham U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
22.11.21	Aston Villa U23 - Burnley U23	4:1
12.03.21	Aston Villa U23 - Burnley U23	2:3
09.11.20	Burnley U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:2

Burnley U23 - Aston Villa U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Burnley U23 - Aston Villa U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

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