Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Liri Ballabani Stadium (Burrel)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Burreli |
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Apolonia Fier |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.82 |
2.78 |
2.52 |
 Watch |
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2.04 |
3.32 |
3.26 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
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1.9 |
3.44 |
3.52 |
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1.9 |
3.14 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.43) |
3.2 ↑
(2.99) |
3.24 ↑
(2.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Burreli
43.2% | Draw
28.6% | Apolonia Fier
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burreli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burreli's performance.Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apolonia Fier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burreli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apolonia Fier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Burreli - Apolonia Fier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 1.Burreli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Apolonia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).Including home match between the teams, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 19.10.25 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 1:2 | | 23.02.25 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 0:0 | | Albanian Cup | | | 20.11.24 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 3:1 | | Albanian First Division | | | 21.10.24 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 1:1 | | 28.09.23 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 3:0 | | 06.11.22 | Burreli - Apolonia Fier | 1:1 | | 23.04.22 | Apolonia Fier - Burreli | 4:0 |
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