Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Liri Ballabani Stadium (Burrel)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Burreli		Iliria

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.35	Watch
	2.15	2.84	3.48
	2.14	2.88	3.52	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.12	2.91	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.35)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)	3.47 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burreli
42.2%

Draw
31.7%

Iliria
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

31.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burreli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Burreli - Iliria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Burreli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
8	Burreli	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Burreli
Albanian First Division
01.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Burreli	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Burreli - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Pogradeci - Burreli	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Lushnja - Burreli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW
- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
01.03.26	Iliria - Kukësi	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Iliria - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Iliria - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Iliria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1
03.11.25	Iliria - Burreli	2:2

Burreli - Iliria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide