Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Iliria		Apolonia Fier

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.4	2.68
	2.18	3.65	2.55
	2.22	3.74	2.62	Watch
	2.28	3.56	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.6)	3.59 ↑ (3.54)	2.6 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
40.4%

Draw
25%

Apolonia Fier
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iliria's form might have worsened.

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Apolonia Fier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iliria - Apolonia Fier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

Recent form of Iliria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Apolonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Apolonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iliria is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iliria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Iliria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
19.04.26	Lushnja - Iliria	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Iliria - Laçi	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Pogradeci - Iliria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL
- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
19.04.26	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
31.01.26	Iliria - Apolonia Fier	2:0
28.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Iliria	0:0

Iliria - Apolonia Fier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide