Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Iliria		Lushnja

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.85	Watch
	1.88	3.02	3.93
	1.85	3.16	4.15	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.82	3.1	4.35
	1.83	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	4 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
48.1%

Draw
29.4%

Lushnja
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Iliria - Lushnja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Selmani S. ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Mavanga D. J. ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Iliria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Iliria is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Iliria - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Iliria	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Iliria - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Besa Kavajë - Iliria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL
- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
07.02.26	Lushnja - Laçi	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Lushnja - Burreli	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lushnja - Korabi Peshkopi	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL

Iliria - Lushnja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide