Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Liri Ballabani Stadium (Burrel)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Burreli		Kukësi

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.85
	1.83	3.46	3.67
	1.84	3.49	3.73	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.85	3.35	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.76)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	3.76 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burreli
49.1%

Draw
26.9%

Kukësi
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Burreli - Kukësi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,

Preview

Burreli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kukësi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Burreli is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Burreli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kukesi	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
8	Burreli	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Burreli
Albanian First Division
07.03.26	Burreli - Iliria	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Burreli	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Burreli - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Pogradeci - Burreli	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLT
- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
07.03.26	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Iliria - Kukësi	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kukësi - Korabi Peshkopi	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Kastrioti - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
29.11.25	Kukësi - Burreli	2:0
30.08.25	Burreli - Kukësi	2:0
08.02.25	Kukësi - Burreli	0:3
03.11.24	Burreli - Kukësi	0:0

Burreli - Kukësi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide