Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Kastrioti |
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Kukësi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.79 |
3.33 |
3.85 |
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 |
1.80 |
3.51 |
3.89 |
 Watch |
 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
3.93 |
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 |
1.7 |
3 |
3.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.91) |
3.37 ↓
(3.48) |
3.81 ↑
(3.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kastrioti
50.2% | Draw
26.4% | Kukësi
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Kukësi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Kastrioti - Kukësi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Schepanski G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', Vogli E. 🟥,
- 74', 0 - 2, Lamellari E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 5.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Kukësi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Kastrioti could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Kukesi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastrioti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 07.02.26 | Kastrioti - Kukësi | 2:1 | | 03.11.25 | Kukësi - Kastrioti | 0:1 | | 30.03.25 | Kastrioti - Kukësi | 2:0 | | 19.01.25 | Kastrioti - Kukësi | 1:0 | | 20.10.24 | Kukësi - Kastrioti | 0:1 | | Albanian Super League | | | 11.02.23 | Kukësi - Kastrioti | 1:0 | | 13.11.22 | Kastrioti - Kukësi | 1:1 |
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