Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	Bursaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.77	3.45	3.95
	1.83	3.62	4.45
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.79	3.64	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.03)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	4.1 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
51.2%

Draw
26.3%

Kocaelispor
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Bursaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Bursaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bursaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bursaspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
02.04.22	Keçiörengücü - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Bursaspor - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Boluspor - Bursaspor	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Ankaragücü - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
15.02.22	Bursaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
03.04.22	Kocaelispor - Denizlispor	1:5 ✺
20.03.22	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
04.03.22	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.11.21	Kocaelispor - Bursaspor	2:1

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