Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 9

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Tuzlaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.43	2.15
	3.45	3.43	2.15
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.28	3.35	2.09
	3.2	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
27.8%

Draw
27.8%

Kocaelispor
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Kaplan F. (G) 27. Asatekin S. 5. Ay S. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 12. Ba M. 28. Togui W. 44. Bangoura S. 10. Akarslan M. 17. Yazar A. 9. Segun J. A.	1. Tekin H. (G) 77. Ceylan O. 53. Oksuz B. 4. Ortakaya E. 19. Turan A. 40. Gultekin Y. 8. Celik C. 10. Candeias D. 41. Amaral J. 14. Beridze G. 99. Tanque D.
Substitutes
33. Akkan G. 3. Awuku P. 77. Bas S. 19. Ciftci H. 22. Cinar Z. 42. Coskun M. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 72. Keklik H. 11. Kose A. 6. Tas M.	55. Abdioglu Y. 70. Alici B. 3. Atasayar O. 24. Breze I. 9. Cicek A. 20. Colgecen M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 11. Kouakou C. 21. Yildiz B. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Kocabiyik G.	Saglam E.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Recent matches Tuzlaspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kocaelispor is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
08.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Boluspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Manisa FK - Tuzlaspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
06.10.23	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Kocaelispor - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.02.22	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	0:0
24.09.21	Kocaelispor - Tuzlaspor	1:0

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