Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Bursaspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.5
	1.6	3.85	4.25
	1.59	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.95	5
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.62	3.92	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.75)	3.87 ↑ (3.51)	4.57 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
56.2%

Draw
23.7%

Umraniyespor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umraniyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umraniyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	3.1%	21.9%

Bursaspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Bursaspor will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bursaspor: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Umraniyespor is Qualified for Super Lig

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bursaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bursaspor is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
01.05.22	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:3 ✺
23.04.22	Bursaspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
19.04.22	Bursaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	İstanbulspor - Bursaspor	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Bursaspor - Kocaelispor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLW
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
01.05.22	Umraniyespor - Balikesirspor	4:1 ✺
24.04.22	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	0:2 ✺
19.04.22	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Umraniyespor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
01.04.22	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.12.21	Umraniyespor - Bursaspor	4:1
11.04.21	Umraniyespor - Bursaspor	2:1
04.12.20	Bursaspor - Umraniyespor	1:3
01.03.20	Umraniyespor - Bursaspor	1:1
19.10.19	Bursaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1
Club Friendly
24.07.18	Bursaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1
Turkish Cup
25.01.17	Umraniyespor - Bursaspor	0:1

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