Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gigg Lane (Bury)


	Bury		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.90	4.60
	1.55	3.85	4.30
	1.56	4.26	4.63
	1.58	4.35	4.83	Watch
	1.54	4.20	4.55
	1.49	4.10	5.38
	1.56	4.00	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	4.09 ↑ (3.84)	4.74 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury
58.7%

Draw
22.2%

Lancaster City
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bury - Lancaster City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bury will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Yawson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Bury is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lancaster's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lancaster has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bury is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bury will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bury	10	5	1	4	19:9	10	16
12	Lancaster	12	5	1	6	16:24	-8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury FC
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bury	0:1 ✺
18.08.26	Guiseley - Bury	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Bury - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Bury - Curzon Ashton	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bury - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWWW
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Lancaster City - Quorn	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Lancaster City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lancaster City - Hyde United	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Lancaster City - Preston North End U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWT

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