Match Info

K3 League - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Dangjin Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.59	4.61
	1.73	3.55	4.39	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.71	3.44	4.42	Watch
	1.84	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	4.25 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
52%

Draw
26.5%

Dangjin Citizen
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Dangjin Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 5).

Recent performances by Busan Kyotong have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dangjin Citizen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Busan Kyotong has had a series of home games.

Recently, Dangjin Citizen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Busan Kyotong is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTL
- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
25.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Dangjin Citizen	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Chuncheon - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Pocheon - Dangjin Citizen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	0:2
South Korean K3 League
18.09.22	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	3:0
14.05.22	Dangjin Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:0

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