The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buxton 63.4%
Draw 20.2%
Morpeth Town 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
19.6%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
11.5%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-26.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buxton - Morpeth Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Buxton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Morpeth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Buxton is a favorite.
Morpeth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 2 head-to-head matches Buxton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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