Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.82
	2.27	3.61	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.24	2.87
	2.22	3.5	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
40.7%

Draw
27.2%

Morpeth Town
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Whitby Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Chungh A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Chimalilo D. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Holvey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWTT
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Morpeth Town - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Warrington Town - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Morpeth Town - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.02.25	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	0:2
12.10.24	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	1:1
16.04.24	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	3:1
26.12.23	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	0:1
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.23	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	0:1
18.10.22	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	0:1

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