Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Morpeth Town		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.35	3.5	2.52
	2.44	3.63	2.5
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.28	3.36	2.75
	2.34	3.24	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
38.9%

Draw
26.8%

Lancaster City
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Morpeth Town - Lancaster City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.

Lancaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Morpeth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 2.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 2.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Leek Town - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stockton Town - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWT
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Lancaster City - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
12.08.25	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Hyde United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Kendal Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Lancaster City - Barrow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.03.25	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	0:0
16.11.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	0:2
16.03.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	2:0
24.10.23	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	3:2
04.03.23	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	2:3
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.22	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	6:3

Upcoming Matches