Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Buxton		Nantwich Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.37	4.6	6.2
	1.41	4.78	6.85
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.36	4.85	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)	4.59 ↑ (4.3)	6.58 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
66.2%

Draw
19.9%

Nantwich Town
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

17.8%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buxton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Buxton - Nantwich Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Buxton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Buxton is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Buxton won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
20.11.21	Lancaster City - Buxton	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Buxton - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
09.11.21	Buxton - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	York City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.10.21	Buxton - Colne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL
- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.11.21	Scarborough Athletic - Nantwich Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Nantwich Town - Grantham Town	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Nantwich Town - Barwell	2:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.10.21	Nantwich Town - Morpeth Town	2:3 ✺
16.10.21	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.09.20	Nantwich Town - Buxton	2:1
14.12.19	Nantwich Town - Buxton	2:2
20.08.19	Buxton - Nantwich Town	1:2
05.03.19	Buxton - Nantwich Town	2:1
21.08.18	Nantwich Town - Buxton	0:0
19.04.18	Buxton - Nantwich Town	3:0
05.09.17	Nantwich Town - Buxton	1:3

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