Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Buxton

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.8	1.57
	4.2	3.7	1.66
	4.22	3.92	1.75
	4.5	3.8	1.57
	4.25	3.92	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.85)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
20.9%

Draw
23.8%

Buxton
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.7%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.7%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lancaster City - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lancaster is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buxton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lancaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
06.11.21	Scarborough Athletic - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Lancaster City - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
16.10.21	Radcliffe - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
12.10.21	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW
- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
13.11.21	Buxton - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
09.11.21	Buxton - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	York City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.10.21	Buxton - Colne	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.10.21	South Shields - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.12.19	Buxton - Lancaster City	1:1
16.02.19	Lancaster City - Buxton	1:3
29.09.18	Buxton - Lancaster City	1:2
24.04.18	Lancaster City - Buxton	1:1
12.08.17	Buxton - Lancaster City	1:1

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