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Current Win Probability
Nantwich Town 29%
Draw 25.9%
Morpeth Town 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
25%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
24.2%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantwich Town's form might have worsened.
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morpeth Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantwich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morpeth Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nantwich Town - Morpeth Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).
Nantwich is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Morpeth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morpeth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Morpeth will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Nantwich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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