Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Atherton Collieries		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.53
	5	4.2	1.52
	4.98	4.58	1.53
	5.04	4.69	1.52
	3.75	4.2	1.62
	5.25	4.1	1.5
	5	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.33)	4.3 ↑ (4)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
19.1%

Draw
21.3%

Whitby Town
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

22.7%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22.3%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 1.

Atherton Collieries is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Whitby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Whitby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atherton Collieries have a series of guest games.

In this match Whitby is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0 ✺
11.11.23	Worksop Town - Atherton Collieries	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLL
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
02.12.23	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Whitby Town - Workington	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.23	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0
15.04.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	1:3
26.11.22	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	1:0
15.01.22	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	0:2
14.09.21	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	0:1
01.02.20	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	3:1

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