Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Bytovia Bytów		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	3	3.45	2
	2.25	3.75	2.39
	2.85	4.31	2.14
	2.88	3.5	2.05
	3.02	3.46	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.38)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	2.14 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bytovia Bytów
32.6%

Draw
24.7%

Lech Poznań 2
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

23.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bytovia Bytów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bytovia Bytów than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.6%	2.2%	91.2%

Bytovia Bytów - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 137 users predict this event. Bytovia will win (votes: 9 - 6.6%). Lech 2 will win (votes: 125 - 91.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech 2: 86.5% – 95.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Bytovia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lech 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bytovia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bytovia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bytovia Bytów
Polish Division 2
23.05.21	GKS Katowice - Bytovia Bytów	4:1 ✺
19.05.21	Bytovia Bytów - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
15.05.21	Sokół Ostróda - Bytovia Bytów	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	Bytovia Bytów - Stal Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
02.05.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Bytovia Bytów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
23.05.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Motor Lublin	0:0 ✺
19.05.21	Wigry Suwałki - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
15.05.21	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
08.05.21	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Lech Poznań 2	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Garbarnia Kraków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.12.20	Lech Poznań 2 - Bytovia Bytów	1:1
19.07.20	Bytovia Bytów - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
03.11.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Bytovia Bytów	3:0

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