Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Lech Poznań 2		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.82	3.46	2.34
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.86	3.43	2.27	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
32.7%

Draw
26.8%

KKS Kalisz
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Pruchniewski M. (G) . Brzyski I. . Dziuba M. . Jakobczyk K. . Kornobis I. . Kukulka K. . Nadolski A. . Orlowski M. . Pietrzak M. . Tomaszewski B. . Wichtowski M.	1. Krakowiak M. (G) 11. Bednarski M. 23. Bialczyk M. 6. Cierpka A. 3. Gawlik M. 10. Gordillo N. 35. Kieliba B. 42. Smolinski W. 9. Sobol H. 5. Staszak J. 24. Wysokinski M.
Substitutes
. Cywka T. . Czekala M. . Gmur T. . Kalata K. . Niedzielski J. . Orzechowski K. . Pawlowski S. . Stachowiak A. (G) . Stankiewicz I.	70. Debinski A. 36. Furtak M. (G) 8. Kalenik O. 18. Karasiewicz W. 71. Koczy K. 22. Maroszek W. 16. Putno B. 15. Staszak W. 4. Walis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Sobol H. ⚽,
30', Wichtowski M. 🟨,
33', Pietrzak M. ↓, Stankiewicz I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Kukulka K. ↓, Kalata K. ↑,
62', Brzyski I. ↓, Niedzielski J. ↑,
62', Kornobis I. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
67', Niedzielski J. 🟨,
69', Cierpka A. 🟨,
75', Bialczyk M. ↓, Debinski A. ↑,
75', Sobol H. ↓, Putno B. ↑,
78', Kalata K. ↓, Czekala M. ↑,
80', Debinski A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Wichtowski M. (Pen),
82', Wysokinski M. ↓, Kalenik O. ↑,
88', Gawlik M. 🟨,
90+5', Kalenik O. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 1.

Recent matches Lech 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KKS Kalisz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KKS Kalisz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
29.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
15.04.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTWL
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
27.04.24	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Polonia Bytom - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	KKS Kalisz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
23.04.23	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	0:4
18.09.22	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
01.05.22	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	1:0
23.10.21	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
15.05.21	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	2:0
21.11.20	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:0

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