Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bærum		Union Carl Berner

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.60	4.00
	1.41	4.60	4.80
	1.64	4.73	3.59
	1.48	4.91	4.76	Watch
	1.62	4.65	3.35
	1.66	5.15	3.50
	1.5	5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	4.81 ↓ (5.17)	3.97 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
58.4%

Draw
18.8%

Union Carl Berner
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

17.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

17.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Union Carl Berner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Bærum - Union Carl Berner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, Berner C. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Hafskjold H. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Rosland E. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 8th).

Bærum has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Union Carl Berner has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Bærum for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bærum has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Baerum Sportsklubb	25	12	3	10	68:48	20	39
7	Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	45:41	4	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Bærum	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bærum - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Konnerud - Bærum	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Bærum - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
15.08.26	Grei - Bærum	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTWW
- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grei - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ullern - Union Carl Berner	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Union Carl Berner - Konnerud	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Gamle Oslo - Union Carl Berner	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Bærum	2:0

Bærum - Union Carl Berner