Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.80
	2.16	3.40	2.75
	2.05	3.65	3.18
	2.01	3.67	3.11	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.10
	2.16	3.70	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)	3.56 ↑ (3.35)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
43.5%

Draw
25.5%

KKS Kalisz
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Starzycki B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Krocz S. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Kroczek D. ⚽,
45+5', 4 - 0, Kroczek D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 5 - 0, Zaborski K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 5th).

In recent outings, Stargard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

KKS Kalisz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Stargard has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stargard against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
6	KKS Kalisz	11	4	5	2	16:15	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLW
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Kluczevia Stargard	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
29.08.26	KKS Kalisz - Elana Toruń	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.03.21	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - KKS Kalisz	0:4
29.08.20	KKS Kalisz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0

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