Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Chemik Bydgoszcz		Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	1.95
	3.10	3.60	1.93
	3.14	3.81	1.90
	3.19	3.72	1.96	Watch
	3.10	3.70	1.87
	3.13	3.86	1.99	Watch
	3.31	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.31)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemik Bydgoszcz
28.6%

Draw
24.5%

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemik Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemik Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 1, ⚽,
17', 2 - 2, ⚽,
28', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 7th).

Chemik Bydgoszcz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stargard shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stargard holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
13	Chemik Bydgoszcz	11	2	6	3	17:21	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Chemik Bydgoszcz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLL
- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:5 ✺
23.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Luzino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWW

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