Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: JP Financial Estadio (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+


	Cádiz		Leganés

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.45
	2.63	3.00	2.55	Watch
	3.08	3.19	2.56
	2.78	3.13	2.68	Watch
	3.00	3.15	2.50
	3.02	3.26	2.41
	2.85	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.53)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.5 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
32.5%

Draw
29.9%

Leganés
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Cádiz - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (C) 27. Diaz Peregrina J. 4. Castro J. 6. Fernandez M. 3. Arribas S. 18. Jandro 28. Zarate Hidalgo D. A. 16. Cordero A. 5. Doue M. 24. Sanchez I. 21. Kopotun V.	13. Zidane L. (G) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. (C) 3. Montero J. 2. Marvel 22. Alex Sancris 8. Kechta Y. 20. Atienza M. 17. Gharbi I. 11. Garcia N. 19. Soko P. 21. Morata A.
Substitutes
8. Aghama E. 2. de Jesus B. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 22. Gutierrez C. 19. Izeta 17. Moueffek A. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Pascual A. 25. Petit G. 23. Rodriguez D. 31. Ukwuije N. 20. Vazquez B.	10. Buurmeester Z. 18. Campos A. 16. del Cura U. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 15. Franquesa E. 38. Gorrin A. (G) 9. Millan A. 5. Miquel I. 4. Pulido R. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Sule 23. Tejero A.
Coaches
Celades A.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cordero A. ⚽, Kopotun V. (A),
43', Kechta Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Kopotun V. ⚽,
55', Doue M. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
61', Soko P. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
61', Alex Sancris ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
61', Marvel ↓, del Cura U. ↑,
61', Atienza M. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
62', Garcia N. 🟨,
69', Fernandez M. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Cordero A. ⚽, Moueffek A. (A),
73', Pulido R. 🟨,
74', Diaz Peregrina J. 🟨,
78', Diaz Peregrina J. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
78', Sanchez I. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
79', Montero J. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Moueffek A. ⚽, Vazquez B. (A),
84', Kopotun V. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
84', Jandro ↓, Izeta ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 10th).

Cádiz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Leganés has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Cádiz: Gocholeishvili G. (Injury) Kovacevic B. (International duty) Mwepu F. (Knee Injury) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury) Toibibou K. (International duty).

Confirmed absences for Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Pena R. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cádiz: Gutierrez C. (Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cádiz has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cádiz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Leganes: 2.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Tenerife - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Cádiz - Girona	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Almería - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Cádiz - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.26	Leganés - Castellón	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Tenerife - Leganés	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Leganés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Cádiz - Leganés	3:0
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1

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