The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cádiz 45.2%
Draw 29.7%
Sporting de Gijón 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.3%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
29.3%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cádiz's performance.
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cádiz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 3.
Cádiz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Sporting de Gijón have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cádiz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Cádiz: Gocholeishvili G.
(Injury)
Gutierrez C.
(Injury)
Mwepu F.
(Knee Injury)
Rivera M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tabatadze I.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sporting de Gijón: Casas A.
(Injury)
Dunabeitia A.
(Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Leg Injury)
Iosifov N.
(Muscle Injury)
Otero J.
(Injury)
de la Fuente K.
(Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cádiz has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cádiz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).
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