Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Céltiga		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.27	5.24	9.86	Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	2	3.46	3.57
	1.94	3.14	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	4.97 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
53.7%

Draw
26.9%

Noia
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Céltiga - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Céltiga is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	RC Villalbes - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Céltiga - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alondras - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Céltiga - Lugo B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.12.25	Noia - Juventud Cambados	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Boiro - Noia	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Noia - Barco	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Compostela - Noia	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLT

Céltiga - Noia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Céltiga - Noia Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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