Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Compostela		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.65	7.9
	1.28	5.05	9.42
	1.63	3.02	7.27	Watch
	1.29	4.55	9.35
	1.33	4.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.32 ↓ (4.5)	8.49 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
67.7%

Draw
21.4%

Noia
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Compostela - Noia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Compostela will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Compostela (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Uzal D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Compostela is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Noia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Compostela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Compostela is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	RC Villalbes - Compostela	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Compostela - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alondras - Compostela	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWT
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Somozas - Noia	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Noia - Montañeros	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Arosa - Noia	5:2 ✺
12.10.25	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Noia - Compostela	1:3
05.11.17	Compostela - Noia	3:2

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