The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Noia 22.4%
Draw 29.8%
Estradense 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
28.4%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
28%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noia's form might have worsened.
Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Noia - Estradense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Delgado A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Noia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estradense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Estradense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).