Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Trama (Comandante Nicanor Otamendi)


	Círculo Deportivo		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.85
	2.68	2.72	2.68
	2.62	2.5	2.93
	2.86	2.47	3.17	Watch
	2.6	2.6	2.9
	2.6	2.57	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)	2.6 ↓ (2.72)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Círculo Deportivo
34.3%

Draw
34.8%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

33.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Kimberley de Mar del Plata aligns with the current prediction.

Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (C) 11. Cos B. 10. Goiburu E. 5. Gomez L. 3. Leguizamon M. 4. Martinez J. 9. Opazo D. 7. Rius C. 2. Rojas F. 6. Torres C. 8. Vilchez J.	1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 5. Miori M. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A. 10. Vella L. 11. Zarate J.
Substitutes
14. Aquino S. 19. Banchio R. 13. Cozzi F. 17. Galeano A. 16. Gimenez T. 18. Iriberri I. 12. Lerena S. (G) 20. Marin Q. 15. Sasso M.	12. Aguayo D. (G) 17. Avalos V. 16. Chavez S. 15. De Gaetani A. 13. Di Molfetta M. 20. Iriarte L. 19. Russo F. 18. Santillan J. 14. Zanelli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Castillo S. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
88', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Círculo Deportivo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kimberley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Círculo Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTLLL
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:4 ✺
18.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alvarado - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1
16.03.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	0:1
02.06.24	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1
07.04.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	0:1

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