Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.82	5.3
	1.88	2.69	4.82
	1.78	2.99	5.77	Watch
	1.91	2.63	4.8
	1.93	2.77	5.27
	1.64	3	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	2.82 ↓ (3)	5.27 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
50.3%

Draw
32.4%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

30.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alvarado - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 5. Chiozza L. 10. Federico T. 2. Fernandez T. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Gutierrez S. 6. Mansilla M. 7. Miori M. 11. Speck N.	1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 2. Masino M. 8. Miori M. 11. Rios R. 3. Sosa H. 7. Ullua E. 5. Vazquez A. 10. Vella L.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 18. Castellano A. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 14. Nunez L. 17. Perez M. 19. Pinoni F. 12. Zapata A. (G)	12. Aguayo D. (G) 16. De Gaetani A. 14. Di Molfetta M. 20. Iriarte L. 13. Manas F. 19. Santillan J. 15. Tello L. 18. Veron L. 17. Zarate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
38', Castillo S. 🟨,
39', Fernandez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Miori M. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
60', Speck N. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
66', Federico T. ↓, Makarte R. ↑,
66', Miori M. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
68', Castillo S. ↓, Santillan J. ↑,
68', Rios R. ↓, Veron L. ↑,
68', Vazquez A. ↓, De Gaetani A. ↑,
77', Ullua E. ↓, Tello L. ↑,
82', Gutierrez S. ↓, Hofstetter P. J. ↑,
82', Mansilla M. ↓, Pinoni F. ↑,
86', Hofstetter P. J. 🟨,
89', Centurion F. 🟥,
90+5', Miori M. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

Kimberley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alvarado is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Alvarado	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLLT
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLT

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