Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Arcángel (Córdoba)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Córdoba		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.45	2.98	Watch
	2.27	3.55	3.19
	2.38	3.42	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.23	3.72	2.98
	2.22	3.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	2.93 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba
41.7%

Draw
26.5%

Castellón
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Córdoba - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Córdoba (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Córdoba (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Córdoba (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Córdoba (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Castellón (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marin C. (C) 21. Albarran C. 15. Sintes X. 12. Fomeyem F. 2. Vilarrasa I. 8. Ruiz I. 24. Ortiz P. 23. Carracedo C. 7. Zidane T. 10. Gonzalez J. 14. Guardiola S.	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 4. Sienra A. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 21. Calatrava A. 8. Barri 18. Santiago P. 7. Mabil A. 19. Jakobsen A. 16. Cipenga B.
Substitutes
3. Alcedo J. 4. Alex Martin 16. Alves R. 26. Arevalo A. (G) 5. Bri D. 19. de Almeida D. 20. del Moral A. 18. Fuentes A. 22. Isaac C. 11. Medina K. 9. Obolskiy N. 30. Requena D.	12. Alcazar 9. Camara O. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 14. Gil O. 5. Jimenez A. 23. Mamah K. 24. Serpeta 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho 35. Torner Rosell S. (G)
Coaches
Ania I.	Plat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Ortiz P. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
19', 0 - 1, Cipenga B. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
45+4', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
45+6', Carracedo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Santiago P. ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
46', Carracedo C. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
46', Vilarrasa I. ↓, Alcedo J. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. (Pen),
70', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
70', Brignani F. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
70', Jakobsen A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Medina K. ⚽,
82', Ruiz S. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
85', Guardiola S. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
85', Zidane T. ↓, del Moral A. ↑,

Preview

Córdoba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Castellón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Córdoba: Adilson (Knee Injury) Alvarez I. (International duty) Alves R. (Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Córdoba: Bri D. (Inactive) de Almeida D. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Córdoba won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Córdoba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.25	Valladolid - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Córdoba - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
18.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Córdoba - Al-Arabi Doha	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Castellón - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Levante - Castellón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.25	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2
10.11.24	Córdoba - Castellón	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0

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