Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Castellón		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4	Watch
	1.78	3.5	3.9
	1.7	3.8	4.35
	1.74	3.95	4.87
	1.93	3.05	4.60	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.9
	1.76	3.96	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	4.26 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
52.5%

Draw
25.7%

Zaragoza
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Castellón - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. 4. Sienra A. 17. Ruiz S. 21. Calatrava A. 8. Barri 10. Suero I. 7. Mabil A. 9. Camara O. 16. Cipenga B. (C)	13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 2. Sebastian J. 14. Francho (C) 8. Moya T. 10. Guti R. 23. Aketxe A. 11. Bazdar S. 17. Moyano F.
Substitutes
12. Alcazar 3. Brignani F. 6. Doue M. 50. Ferrando J. C. (G) 15. Gerenabarrena B. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 18. Santiago P. 24. Serpeta 26. Tincho 55. Willman M.	32. Barrachina H. 40. Calavia C. (G) 18. de la Fuente P. 9. Gomez D. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 30. Sanchez J. R. 29. Sans P. 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery
Coaches
Plat J.	Gabi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Insua P. 🟨,
24', Bazdar S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bazdar S. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Cipenga B. ⚽, Mellot J. (A),
61', Aketxe A. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
64', Suero I. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
67', Calatrava A. 🟨,
69', Guti R. ↓, Valery ↑,
69', Moyano F. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', Cipenga B. 🟨,
71', Calatrava A. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
71', Cipenga B. ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
78', Sebastian J. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
84', Saidu Y. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
90+1', Ruiz S. ↓, Alcazar ↑,
90+1', Sienra A. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.

There will not play in Castellón: Matthys R. (Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Pomares C. (Red Card) Tachi (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Ronaldo (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Tasende D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.25	Castellón - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Levante - Castellón	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Huesca - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWT
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.25	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Tarazona - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	4:1
26.10.24	Zaragoza - Castellón	1:2
20.05.21	Zaragoza - Castellón	3:0
02.12.20	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:0

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